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OPENING SPEECH
BY ACTING PRINCIPAL SECRETARY
Mr. M. Khethisa
DURING THE DISSEMINATION WORKSHOP OF THE 2002/03
AND 1994/95 HOUSEHOLD BUDGET SURVEY RESULTS AND THE 2006 CENSUS OF
POPULATION AND HOUSING PRELIMINARY RESULTS
AT
LEHAKOE RECREATIONAL AND CULTURAL CENTRE
DATE: 21 August 2007
Mr. Chairperson,
Cooperating Partners,
Invited quests,
Ladies and gentlemen,
I wish to thank you all for accepting our
invitation and leaving your busy schedules to come to this workshop.
This demonstrates your commitment and the priority you attach to the
statistics development of this country. Your contributions and
observations on the presentations will be taken with utmost
seriousness.
We are gathered here today to witness the launch
of the 2002/2003 Household Budget Survey Results and the preliminary
results of the 2006 Lesotho Census of Population and Housing Census.
The Bureau of Statistics conducted a Household
Budget Survey over a 12-month period running from November 2002 to
December 2003 covering a representative sample of five thousand,
nine hundred and ninety two households. The objectives of this
survey included among others, provision of statistics on income and
expenditure patterns, access to resources on the distribution of
household income and expenditure among the various population
groups, and ecological zones in the country and for poverty mapping.
Data cleaning and analysis for this survey took
longer than was anticipated due to the complex nature of the survey.
Ladies and gentlemen,
As you will learn during the presentations, when
comparing the 1994/95 Household Budget survey results with those of
2002/2003, there are quite a number of positive improvements in some
of the indicators, for instance, the overall dependency ratio has
declined by 0.11 between the two survey periods. 1n 1994/95, the
dependency ratio was 0.78 while in 2002/2003 it is recorded at 0.67.
There is also a very slight change in the poverty levels as
indicated by the population living below poverty line which is
56.61% as opposed to 66.61% recorded during the 1994/95 Household
Budget Survey. While this might be regarded as an improvement, this
still falls short of meeting the target set by the Millennium
Development Goal of eradicating extreme hunger, with a target of
cutting by half the proportion of people who live below the poverty
line and those who suffer from hunger by 2015. In view of the fact
that poor performance on this goal has a negative bearing on some of
the goals, there is a challenge to policy makers and planners to
double their efforts in the design and implementation of programmes
geared towards meeting these internationally agreed goals as well as
the Poverty Reduction Strategy.
The report also reveals rural urban disparities
in the poverty levels among the population, thus adequate poverty
targeting is essential in line with the poverty reduction strategy.
Let me highlight that as an improvement to the
previous Household Budget Surveys, the 2002/2003 HBS collected for
the first time information relating to the living conditions of the
population. This entails individual’s perceptions of their levels of
satisfaction with their own situations, the performance of different
services and their possibilities to participate and improve
participation in different sectors of life. The product of which was
the construction of a Living conditions Index that will guide
planners and policy makers in the following areas:
Sector prioritizing and policy
development,
Local Governance,
Democratic development,
Increased Institutional Performances,
Giving voice to the marginalized
population groups like children, youth etc.,
Poverty reduction and improving the
well-being of the population.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Let me also remind you that the Population census
on the other hand was undertaken in April 2006. The census covered
all households in the ten districts, eighty constituencies, one
hundred and twenty eight Community Councils, four thousand, two
hundred and fifty Enumeration Areas, Cattle posts and institutions
throughout the country.
The census adopted the United Nations Principles
and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses for the 2010
round of censuses as well as the generic questionnaire for the SADC
region.
The actual enumeration was preceded by a Census
cartography using the latest approach of satellite imagery as
opposed to the conventional sketch maps. This was followed by
household listing and training to ensure quality and adherence to
agreed standards.
According to the 2006 census preliminary
estimates, the population of Lesotho is 1,880,661. At this level,
the population is lower than the projected figure of 2.2 million
based on the 1996 Census.
Ladies and gentlemen,
Distinguished guests,
It has to be noted that the projections I have
just referred to had not factored in the demographic impact of HIV
and AIDS. The basis of the assumptions were that the mortality rate
will continue to decline in consonance with the improvements in
Primary Health Care initiatives by the Ministry of Health and Social
Welfare, and that fertility will be constant at 4.1 children per
woman and that international migration will be moderate.
The on-going in-depth analysis of the census data
will give a much more clearer picture of the population dynamics of
this country.
In an effort to improve on the quality of data
and to ensure credibility of the census, the Bureau of Statistics
undertook a Post Enumeration Survey two weeks after completion of
enumeration for the census. This survey entailed complete
re-enumeration of a representative sample of the census population
and matching each individual who is enumerated in the post
enumeration survey with information from the main enumeration. This
is a tool to measure both the content and coverage errors.
Distinguished guests,
Ladies and gentlemen,
Let me remind you that better statistics were
identified as a priority of the results agenda at the first Round
Table on Better Measurement, Monitoring, and Managing for Results,
held in Washington in 2002, thus statistics remain an important part
of the results agenda. These sentiments were reiterated during the
Second International Round Table on Managing for Development
Results, held in Marrakech, Morocco, in February 2004 which gave
birth to the Marrakech Action Plan for Statistics to which Lesotho
is committed.
Good statistics are not just a concern of the
international community. Timely and reliable information is needed
by government, business, the media and citizens to make informed
decisions and to enhance evidence –based policymaking. In short good
statistics are part of the enabling environment for development.
I wish to appeal to you to have confidence in our
data and utilize them in planning, programme formulation and
monitoring and evaluation.
REMEMBER, IF YOU CAN`T MEASURE IT, YOU CAN`T
MANAGE IT.
On behalf of the Government of Lesotho and on my
own behalf, I wish to take this opportunity to thank most sincerely,
our development partners who played a very crucial role in making
both projects a reality. Specifically the European Commission for
providing technical assistance during the planning phase of the
Household Budget Survey and a census Adviser, the World Bank and
UNDP for financial support during data collection of the HBS, DCI,
UNDP, DFID, IMF and the World Bank for technical and financial
support during data analysis; UNDP, DCI, DFID, UNFPA and UNICEF for
providing technical and financial support during both the
enumeration and post enumeration phases of the 2006 Lesotho Census
of Population and Housing, without whose genuine and continued
support we would not be here to day.
With these few remarks I wish to declare this
workshop officially opened.
THANK YOU!
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